长沙理工大学学报(自然科学版)
建成环境对网约车出行需求影响机制研究
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河北工程大学 建筑与艺术学院,河北 邯郸 056038;2.北京工业大学 交通工程北京市重点实验室,北京 100124)

作者简介:

通讯作者:

王振报(1978―) (ORCID: 0000-0002-6402-6280),男,教授,主要从事城市规划与GIS方面的研究。

中图分类号:

U491

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金资助项目(52008006);河北省社会科学发展研究课题(20210201407)


Research on the influence mechanism of built environment on online car‑hailing travel demand
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.School of Architecture and Art, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan 056038, China; 2.Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China)

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    摘要:

    【目的】研究建成环境对网约车出行需求的影响。【方法】以成都为例,采用不同尺度规则网格与交通分区两种方法,将研究范围划分为8种空间单元,针对每一种空间单元,利用多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)模型进行回归分析,确定最优空间分析单元,根据最优带宽将建成环境影响因素划分为局部、区域和全局变量,分析各建成环境变量影响程度的空间异质性和尺度差异,探讨建成环境与网约车需求量之间的关系。【结果】1 100 m网格为最佳的空间单元划分尺度,在该划分尺度下,早晚高峰网约车需求回归模型决定系数R2分别为94.5%和96.7%;不同建成环境影响因素的空间尺度差异较大,且局部系数具有空间异质性,在早晚高峰不同时段变化较大。【结论】最佳空间分析单元可为预测网约车交通需求的交通分区提供参考,在针对不同区位进行客流需求调整时,空间异质性结果为制定更加合理的建成环境及更新策略提供决策依据。

    Abstract:

    [Purposes] This paper aims to investigate the impact of built environment on online car?hailing travel demand. [Methods] Taking Chengdu as an example, the research scope is divided into eight spatial units by using different scales of regular grids and traffic analysis areas. For each spatial unit, a multi?scale geographical weighted regression model is used for regression analysis to determine the optimal spatial analysis unit. According to the optimal bandwidth, the built environment influencing factors are divided into local, regional and global variables, and this research analyzes the spatial heterogeneity of the influence degree of built environment variables and their scale difference; and the relationship between the built environment and the demand for online car?hailing is explored. [Findings] The 1?100 m grid is the best spatial unit. Under this spatial unit, the determination coefficients R2 of the regression model of car?hailing demand for the morning peak hours and the evening peak hours are 94.5% and 96.7%, respectively. Moreover, the spatial scales of different built environment variables are different, and the local coefficients have spatial heterogeneity and varies significantly for the morning peak hours and the evening peak hours. [Conclusions] The best spatial analysis unit can provide a reference for the traffic zoning of online car?hailing demand forecasting. When adjusting passenger flow demand for different locations, the results of spatial heterogeneity could provide reference for formulating more reasonable built environment renewal strategies.

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引用本文

王振报,龚鑫,吴巍,等.建成环境对网约车出行需求影响机制研究[J].长沙理工大学学报(自然科学版),2023,20(2):104-114.
WANG Zhenbao, GONG Xin, WU Wei, et al. Research on the influence mechanism of built environment on online car‑hailing travel demand[J]. Journal of Changsha University of Science & Technology (Natural Science),2023,20(2):104-114.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-04-05
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-05-16
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